Lab onlineEXP-002
Risk simulator
What happens to your account over 100 trades? 1,000 simulated accounts with the same rules show you the whole range – from good luck to bad.
Your accountMedian5–95 %single accountsfell to halflog scale
Your account
- Expectancy
- – per trade, in R
- Typical final balance
- – median of all accounts
- Range (90 %)
- – 90 % of accounts end in between
- Accounts in the red
- – below the starting balance at the end
- Max. drawdown
- – typical · worst 5 %: –
- Longest losing streak
- – trades, typical · worst 5 %: –
- Accounts halved
- – fell to 50 % or less at some point
How the simulator works
- Every account makes the set number of trades. Whether a trade wins is decided at random with your win rate.
- A win brings risk × R, a loss costs exactly the risk. Risk is a fixed percentage of the current balance.
- You can switch on costs: spread and commission count on every trade, slippage only on losses. Real trades depend on each other – so the simulation shows a range, not a forecast.
A simulation with random numbers based on your inputs. It shows possible paths, not a forecast and not investment advice.